Duncan Model of
OPEC/Non-OPEC and Muslim/Non-Muslim Oil Production
or the looming
Alliance of Muslim Petroleum Exporting Countries (“AMPEC”)


OPEC/Non-OPEC

The next cross-over time (when OPEC oil extraction rate will exceed non-OPEC rate) is predicted to be in the year 2006

Muslim/Non-Muslim

However, the next cross-over time for the Muslim countries will occur much sooner -- predicted to occur in 1998


1996, 1997
INSTITUTE on ENERGY and MAN

Richard C. Duncan Ph.D., Director
1997 December 18